ELEvo CME arrival times at L1, Austrian Space Weather Office / GeoSphere Austria, created Tue 2026-10-13 00:00 UTC
| ID | time 21.5 [UT, at 21.5 R_Sun] | lon [deg] | lat [deg] | half width [deg] | initial speed [km/s] | arrival time [UTC] | error arrival time [h] | arrival speed [km/s] | error arrival speed [km/s] | arrival probability [%] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2026-09-30T03:12:00-CME-001 | 2026-09-30T10:23Z | 32.0 | 11.0 | 36.0 | 488.0 | 2026-10-04T09:33Z | ± 17.25 | 460.89 | ± 78.68 | 72 |
| 1 | 2026-10-06T06:23:00-CME-001 | 2026-10-06T12:30Z | 3.0 | 15.0 | 44.5 | 571.5 | 2026-10-09T09:00Z | ± 10.67 | 516.88 | ± 80.76 | 100 |
| 2 | 2026-10-06T09:53:00-CME-001 | 2026-10-06T18:49Z | -1.0 | 28.0 | 24.0 | 424.0 | 2026-10-10T10:39Z | ± 18.92 | 418.30 | ± 80.56 | 100 |
| 3 | 2026-10-07T13:53:00-CME-001 | 2026-10-08T00:40Z | 17.0 | 18.0 | 36.0 | 310.0 | 2026-10-12T20:50Z | ± 28.25 | 341.95 | ± 70.55 | 100 |
| 4 | 2026-10-08T16:53:00-CME-001 | 2026-10-08T21:51Z | 19.5 | 27.0 | 36.5 | 613.5 | 2026-10-11T17:41Z | ± 10.0 | 537.51 | ± 83.98 | 99 |
| 5 | 2026-10-10T16:15:00-CME-001 | 2026-10-10T18:59Z | 31.5 | 23.0 | 44.0 | 1198.5 | 2026-10-12T15:39Z | ± 6.92 | 755.68 | ± 163.65 | 96 |
| 6 | 2026-10-11T23:12:00-CME-001 | 2026-10-12T04:03Z | -28.0 | -1.0 | 36.0 | 618.0 | 2026-10-15T05:13Z | ± 10.67 | 535.94 | ± 84.73 | 87 |